涓浗绉戝闄㈡暟瀛︿笌绯荤粺绉戝鐮旂┒闄㈡湡鍒婄綉

鏁板瀛︽姤 鈥衡�� 2018, Vol. 61 鈥衡�� Issue (3): 469-476.DOI: 10.12386/A2018sxxb0040

鈥� 璁烘枃 鈥� 涓婁竴绡�    涓嬩竴绡�

闅忔満娉㈠姩鐜囦笌鎶曡祫涓殑q鐞嗚

榛勬枃绀�   

  1. 娴欐睙璐㈢粡澶у涓浗閲戣瀺鐮旂┒闄� 鏉窞 310018
  • 鏀剁鏃ユ湡:2015-07-01 淇洖鏃ユ湡:2017-07-07 鍑虹増鏃ユ湡:2018-05-15 鍙戝竷鏃ユ湡:2018-05-15
  • 浣滆�呯畝浠�:榛勬枃绀�,E-mail:mathhuang@zju.edu.cn
  • 鍩洪噾璧勫姪:

    鍥藉鑷劧绉戝鍩洪噾璧勫姪椤圭洰锛�11171304锛�71371168锛夛紱娴欐睙鐪佽嚜鐒剁瀛﹀熀閲戯紙Y6110023锛夊強娴欐睙鐪佹暀鑲插巺椤圭洰锛圷201431706锛�

Stochastic Volatility and the q Theory of Investment

Wen Li HUANG   

  1. China Academy of Financial Research University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou 310018, P. R. China
  • Received:2015-07-01 Revised:2017-07-07 Online:2018-05-15 Published:2018-05-15

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鍏抽敭璇�: 闅忔満娉㈠姩鐜�, 闅忔満鎺у埗, 鎵樺q鐞嗚

Abstract:

We introduce stochastic volatility to Tobin's q theory, in order to find how volatility of productivity shock affects a firm's value and its investment decision. We show that volatility of productivity shock has significant effect on firm's Tobin's q, which decreases as volatility rises and the effect gets more obvious as volatility gets bigger. On the other hand, this effect can also affect firm's investment decision because the decrease of Tobin's q can reduce firm's investment, and the effect gets larger when volatility rises too. We also illustrate the effect of volatility upon firm's assets in place and growth opportunities. Our assumption that volatility of productivity shock is stochastic is more realistic than existing literature, so our conclusion is able to provide a reference for firm's valuation and investment decision.

Key words: stochastic volatility, stochastic control, Tobin's q theory

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